This Might Be Where the Very First Total Nuclear War Starts

And where billions of people die.

by War Is Boring

May 24, 2019

Undoubtedly, for nearly two decades the most dangerous place on Earth has been the Indian-Pakistani border in Kashmir. It’s possible that a small spark from artillery and rocket exchanges across that border might — given the known military doctrines of the two nuclear-armed neighbors — lead inexorably to an all-out nuclear conflagration. In that case the result would be catastrophic. Besides causing the deaths of millions of Indians and Pakistanis, such a war might bring on “nuclear winter” on a planetary scale, leading to levels of suffering and death that would be beyond our comprehension.

Alarmingly, the nuclear competition between India and Pakistan has now entered a spine-chilling phase. That danger stems from Islamabad’s decision to deploy low-yield tactical nuclear arms at its forward operating military bases along its entire frontier with India to deter possible aggression by tank-led invading forces. Most ominously, the decision to fire such a nuclear-armed missile with a range of 35 to 60 miles is to rest with local commanders. This is a perilous departure from the universal practice of investing such authority in the highest official of the nation. Such a situation has no parallel in the Washington-Moscow nuclear arms race of the Cold War era.

(This article by Dilip Hiro originally appeared at War is Boring in 2016.)

When it comes to Pakistan’s strategic nuclear weapons, their parts are stored in different locations to be assembled only upon an order from the country’s leader. By contrast, tactical nukes are pre-assembled at a nuclear facility and shipped to a forward base for instant use. In addition to the perils inherent in this policy, such weapons would be vulnerable to misuse by a rogue base commander or theft by one of the many militant groups in the country.

In the nuclear standoff between the two neighbors, the stakes are constantly rising as Aizaz Chaudhry, the highest bureaucrat in Pakistan’s foreign ministry, recently made clear. The deployment of tactical nukes, he explained, was meant to act as a form of “deterrence,” given India’s “Cold Start” military doctrine — a reputed contingency plan aimed at punishing Pakistan in a major way for any unacceptable provocations like a mass-casualty terrorist strike against India.

New Delhi refuses to acknowledge the existence of Cold Start. Its denials are hollow. As early as 2004, it was discussing this doctrine, which involved the formation of eight division-size Integrated Battle Groups. These were to consist of infantry, artillery, armor and air support, and each would be able to operate independently on the battlefield. In the case of major terrorist attacks by any Pakistan-based group, these IBGs would evidently respond by rapidly penetrating Pakistani territory at unexpected points along the border and advancing no more than 30 miles inland, disrupting military command and control networks while endeavoring to stay away from locations likely to trigger nuclear retaliation.

In other words, India has long been planning to respond to major terror attacks with a swift and devastating conventional military action that would inflict only limited damage and so — in a best-case scenario — deny Pakistan justification for a nuclear response.

Islamabad, in turn, has been planning ways to deter the Indians from implementing a Cold-Start-style blitzkrieg on its territory. After much internal debate, its top officials opted for tactical nukes. In 2011, the Pakistanis tested one successfully. Since then, according to Rajesh Rajagopalan, the New Delhi-based co-author of Nuclear South Asia: Keywords and Concepts, Pakistan seems to have been assembling four to five of these annually.

All of this has been happening in the context of populations that view each other unfavorably. A typical survey in this period by the Pew Research Center found that 72 percent of Pakistanis had an unfavorable view of India, with 57 percent considering it as a serious threat, while on the other side 59 percent of Indians saw Pakistan in an unfavorable light.


This is the background against which Indian leaders have said that a tactical nuclear attack on their forces, even on Pakistani territory, would be treated as a full-scale nuclear attack on India, and that they reserved the right to respond accordingly. Since India does not have tactical nukes, it could only retaliate with far more devastating strategic nuclear arms, possibly targeting Pakistani cities.

According to a 2002 estimate by the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency, a worst-case scenario in an Indo-Pakistani nuclear war could result in eight to 12 million fatalities initially, followed by many millions later from radiation poisoning. More recent studies have shown that up to a billion people worldwide might be put in danger of famine and starvation by the smoke and soot thrown into the troposphere in a major nuclear exchange in South Asia. The resulting “nuclear winter” and ensuing crop loss would functionally add up to a slowly developing global nuclear holocaust.


Last November, to reduce the chances of such a catastrophic exchange happening, senior Obama administration officials met in Washington with Pakistan’s army chief, Gen. Raheel Sharif — the final arbiter of that country’s national security policies — and urged him to stop the production of tactical nuclear arms. In return, they offered a pledge to end Islamabad’s pariah status in the nuclear field by supporting its entry into the 48-member Nuclear Suppliers Group to which India already belongs. Although no formal communiqué was issued after Sharif’s trip, it became widely known that he had rejected the offer.

This failure was implicit in the testimony that DIA Director Lt. Gen. Vincent Stewart gave to the Armed Services Committee this February. “Pakistan’s nuclear weapons continue to grow,” he said. “We are concerned that this growth, as well as the evolving doctrine associated with tactical [nuclear] weapons, increases the risk of an incident or accident.”

Strategic nuclear warheads

Since that DIA estimate of human fatalities in a South Asian nuclear war, the strategic nuclear arsenals of India and Pakistan have continued to grow. In January 2016, according to a U.S. congressional report, Pakistan’s arsenal probably consisted of 110 to 130 nuclear warheads. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, India has 90 to 110 of these.

China, the other regional actor, has approximately 260 warheads.

As the 1990s ended, with both India and Pakistan testing their new weaponry, their governments made public their nuclear doctrines. The National Security Advisory Board on Indian Nuclear Doctrine, for example, stated in August 1999 that “India will not be the first to initiate a nuclear strike, but will respond with punitive retaliation should deterrence fail.”

India’s foreign minister explained at the time that the “minimum credible deterrence” mentioned in the doctrine was a question of “adequacy,” not numbers of warheads. In subsequent years, however, that yardstick of “minimum credible deterrence” has been regularly recalibrated as India’s policymakers went on to commit themselves to upgrade the country’s nuclear arms program with a new generation of more powerful hydrogen bombs designed to be city-busters.

In Pakistan in February 2000, President General Pervez Musharraf, who was also the army chief, established the Strategic Plan Division in the National Command Authority, appointing Lt. Gen. Khalid Kidwai as its director general. In October 2001, Kidwai offered an outline of the country’s updated nuclear doctrine in relation to its far more militarily and economically powerful neighbor, saying, “It is well known that Pakistan does not have a ‘no-first-use policy.’”

He then laid out the “thresholds” for the use of nukes. The country’s nuclear weapons, he pointed out, were aimed solely at India and would be available for use not just in response to a nuclear attack from that country, but should it conquer a large part of Pakistan’s territory (the space threshold), or destroy a significant part of its land or air forces (the military threshold), or start to strangle Pakistan economically (the economic threshold), or politically destabilize the country through large-scale internal subversion (the domestic destabilization threshold).

Of these, the space threshold was the most likely trigger. New Delhi as well as Washington speculated as to where the red line for this threshold might lie, though there was no unanimity among defense experts. Many surmised that it would be the impending loss of Lahore, the capital of Punjab, only 15 miles from the Indian border. Others put the red line at Pakistan’s sprawling Indus River basin.

Within seven months of this debate, Indian-Pakistani tensions escalated steeply in the wake of an attack on an Indian military base in Kashmir by Pakistani terrorists in May 2002. At that time, Musharraf reiterated that he would not renounce his country’s right to use nuclear weapons first. The prospect of New Delhi being hit by an atom bomb became so plausible that U.S. Ambassador Robert Blackwill investigated building a hardened bunker in the embassy compound to survive a nuclear strike. Only when he and his staff realized that those in the bunker would be killed by the aftereffects of the nuclear blast did they abandon the idea.

Unsurprisingly, the leaders of the two countries found themselves staring into the nuclear abyss because of a violent act in Kashmir, a disputed territory which had led to three conventional wars between the South Asian neighbors since 1947, the founding year of an independent India and Pakistan. As a result of the first of these in 1947 and 1948, India acquired about half of Kashmir, with Pakistan getting a third and the rest occupied later by China.

Kashmir, the root cause of enduring enmity

The Kashmir dispute dates back to the time when the British-ruled Indian subcontinent was divided into Hindu-majority India and Muslim-majority Pakistan, and indirectly ruled princely states were given the option of joining either one. In October 1947, the Hindu maharaja of Muslim-majority Kashmir signed an “instrument of accession” with India after Muslim tribal raiders from Pakistan invaded his realm.

The speedy arrival of Indian troops deprived the invaders of the capital city, Srinagar. Later, they battled regular Pakistani troops until a United Nations-brokered ceasefire on Jan. 1, 1949. The accession document required that Kashmiris be given an opportunity to choose between India and Pakistan once peace was restored. This has not happened yet, and there is no credible prospect of it taking place.

Fearing a defeat in such a plebiscite, given the pro-Pakistani sentiments prevalent among the territory’s majority Muslims, India found several ways of blocking U.N. attempts to hold one. New Delhi then conferred a special status on the part of Kashmir it controlled and held elections for its legislature, while Pakistan watched with trepidation.

In September 1965, when its verbal protests proved futile, Pakistan attempted to change the status quo through military force. It launched a war that once again ended in stalemate and another U.N.-sponsored truce, which required the warring parties to return to the 1949 ceasefire line.

A third armed conflict between the two neighbors followed in December 1971, resulting in Pakistan’s loss of its eastern wing, which became an independent Bangladesh. Soon after, Indian prime minister Indira Gandhi tried to convince Pakistani president Zulfikar Ali Bhutto to agree to transform the 460-mile-long ceasefire line in Kashmir (renamed the “Line of Control”) into an international border. Unwilling to give up his country’s demand for a plebiscite in all of pre-1947 Kashmir, Bhutto refused. So the stalemate continued.

During the military rule of Gen. Zia al Haq from 1977 to 1988, Pakistan initiated a policy of bleeding India with a thousand cuts by sponsoring terrorist actions both inside Indian Kashmir and elsewhere in the country. Delhi responded by bolstering its military presence in Kashmir and brutally repressing those of its inhabitants demanding a plebiscite or advocating separation from India, committing in the process large-scale human rights violations.

In order to stop infiltration by militants from Pakistani Kashmir, India built a double barrier of fencing 12-feet high with the space between planted with hundreds of land mines. Later, that barrier would be equipped as well with thermal imaging devices and motion sensors to help detect infiltrators. By the late 1990s, on one side of the Line of Control were 400,000 Indian soldiers and on the other 300,000 Pakistani troops. No wonder Pres. Bill Clinton called that border “the most dangerous place in the world.”


Today, with the addition of tactical nuclear weapons to the mix, it is far more so.

Kashmir, the toxic bone of contention

Even before Pakistan’s introduction of tactical nukes, tensions between the two neighbors were perilously high. Then suddenly, at the end of 2015, a flicker of a chance for the normalization of relations appeared. Indian prime minister Narendra Modi had a cordial meeting with his Pakistani counterpart, Nawaz Sharif, on the latter’s birthday, Dec. 25, in Lahore.


But that hope was dashed when, in the early hours of January 2nd, four heavily armed Pakistani terrorists managed to cross the international border in Punjab, wearing Indian army fatigues, and attacked an air force base in Pathankot. A daylong gun battle followed. By the time order was restored on Jan. 5, all the terrorists were dead, but so were seven Indian security personnel and one civilian.

The United Jihad Council, an umbrella organization of separatist militant groups in Kashmir, claimed credit for the attack. The Indian government, however, insisted that the operation had been masterminded by Masood Azhar, leader of the Pakistan-based Jaish-e Muhammad — the Army of Muhammad.

As before, Kashmir was the motivating drive for the anti-India militants. Mercifully, the attack in Pathankot turned out to be a minor event, insufficient to heighten the prospect of war, though it dissipated any goodwill generated by the Modi-Sharif meeting.

There is little doubt, however, that a repeat of the atrocity committed by Pakistani infiltrators in Mumbai in November 2008, leading to the death of 166 people and the burning of that city’s landmark Taj Mahal Hotel, could have consequences that would be dire indeed. The Indian doctrine calling for massive retaliation in response to a successful terrorist strike on that scale could mean the almost instantaneous implementation of its Cold Start strategy. That, in turn, would likely lead to Pakistan’s use of tactical nuclear weapons, thus opening up the real possibility of a full-blown nuclear holocaust with global consequences.

Beyond the long-running Kashmiri conundrum lies Pakistan’s primal fear of the much larger and more powerful India, and its loathing of India’s ambition to become the hegemonic power in South Asia. Irrespective of party labels, governments in New Delhi have pursued a muscular path on national security aimed at bolstering the country’s defense profile.

Overall, Indian leaders are resolved to prove that their country is entering what they fondly call “the age of aspiration.” When, in July 2009, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh officially launched a domestically built nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, the INS Arihant, it was hailed as a dramatic step in that direction. According to defense experts, that vessel was the first of its kind not to be built by one of the five recognized nuclear powers — the United States, Britain, China, France and Russia.

India’s two secret nuclear sites

On the nuclear front in India, there was more to come. Last December, an investigation by the Washington-based Center for Public Integrity revealed that the Indian government was investing $100 million to build a top secret nuclear city spread over 13 square miles near the village of Challakere, 160 miles north of the southern city of Mysore.

When completed, possibly as early as 2017, it will be “the subcontinent’s largest military-run complex of nuclear centrifuges, atomic-research laboratories, and weapons- and aircraft-testing facilities.” Among the project’s aims is to expand the government’s nuclear research, to produce fuel for the country’s nuclear reactors and to help power its expanding fleet of nuclear submarines. It will be protected by a ring of garrisons, making the site a virtual military facility.

Another secret project, the Indian Rare Materials Plant near Mysore, is already in operation. It is a new nuclear enrichment complex that is feeding the country’s nuclear weapons programs, while laying the foundation for an ambitious project to create an arsenal of hydrogen bombs.

The overarching aim of these projects is to give India an extra stockpile of enriched uranium fuel that could be used in such future bombs. As a military site, the project at Challakere will not be open to inspection by the International Atomic Energy Agency or by Washington, since India’s 2008 nuclear agreement with the U.S. excludes access to military-related facilities.

These enterprises are directed by the office of the prime minister, who is charged with overseeing all atomic energy projects. India’s Atomic Energy Act and its Official Secrets Act place everything connected to the country’s nuclear program under wraps. In the past, those who tried to obtain a fuller picture of the Indian arsenal and the facilities that feed it have been bludgeoned to silence.

Little wonder then that a senior White House official was recently quoted as saying, “Even for us, details of the Indian program are always sketchy and hard facts thin on the ground.” He added, “Mysore is being constantly monitored, and we are constantly monitoring progress in Challakere.”

However, according to Gary Samore, a former Obama administration coordinator for arms control and weapons of mass destruction, “India intends to build thermonuclear weapons as part of its strategic deterrent against China. It is unclear, when India will realize this goal of a larger and more powerful arsenal, but they will.”

Once manufactured, there is nothing to stop India from deploying such weapons against Pakistan. “India is now developing very big bombs, hydrogen bombs that are city-busters,” said Pervez Hoodbhoy, a leading Pakistani nuclear and national security analyst. “It is not interested in … nuclear weapons for use on the battlefield; it is developing nuclear weapons for eliminating population centers.”

In other words, as the Kashmir dispute continues to fester, inducing periodic terrorist attacks on India and fueling the competition between New Delhi and Islamabad to outpace each other in the variety and size of their nuclear arsenals, the peril to South Asia in particular and the world at large only grows. (Click to Source)


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Indian general warns Pakistan ‘dare not try’ any cross-border military actions near Kashmir

Published time: 20 May, 2019 14:46

Islamabad will inevitably face a “befitting reply” from New Delhi should Pakistani forces engage in any kind of ‘misadventure’ in the disputed Kashmir territory, a high-ranked Indian general said on Monday.

A tough message to the arch-rival came from Lieutenant General Ranbir Singh, commander of Northern Indian Army as he was talking to the media in Kashmir. The official made it clear that any cross-border activity on behalf of the Pakistani military would be regarded as an affront on the Indian side.

“They dare not try and come anywhere across the Line of Control to carry out any kind of actions. Our deterrence, articulation of our military strategy has been absolutely clear. Should there be any misadventure by the Pakistan armed forces, they shall always be given a befitting reply.”

Kashmir is experiencing a lull in fighting since the latest skirmishes that occurred between the two nations in February. India, however, insists Pakistan is continuing its hostile activities, namely cross-border infiltrations, ceasefire violations, and drug trafficking. “All their actions are actually working towards ensuring that the proxy war by them against India is continuing,” the general said.

The official also shared his thoughts on the details of the February flare-up in Kashmir as two neighboring countries clashed in a series of aerial combats following an Indian air-raid on the Pakistani territory. The air strikes, which according to New Delhi targeted a terrorist camp of the Jaish-e-Mohammed militant group, were “indeed laudable,” the general said calling the operation “a major achievement.” The general, however, warned that ‘terrorist infrastructure’ on the Pakistani side of the Line of Control remains ‘intact.’

Meanwhile, there is no shortage of war rhetoric on the other side of the conflict as well. Earlier in May, a high-profile Pakistani military officer praised his country’s actions during the February encounter as local air forces launched several strikes and downed the Indian fighter jet. Labeling the maneuver ‘Operation Swift Retort’, he urged that any further Indian actions will receive a response that “would be even stronger than before.” (Click to Source)

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Beijing Orders 200 Ships To Spratly Islands, Provoking Panic In Manila

What appears to be Beijing’s latest military flex in the South China Sea – the contested collection of shoals and reefs that plays a crucial role in global trade and also contains vast untapped gas reserves – has reportedly set off “alarm bells” in Manila, just as the Philippines and the US were preparing to begin a round of military drills. According to Bloomberg, Philippines personnel have lodged a complaint with a joint Chinese-Flippino commission created to resolve disputes in the region, after authorities counted a mass of 200 Chinese shipsaround the Thitu, the second-largest island in the Spratly Islands.

With a trade deal still in limbo, military tensions in the South China Sea have intensified as the US Navy has stepped up the pace of its “freedom of navigation” operations, while Beijing has stepped up its threatening rhetoric toward Taiwan and carried out more military drills.

A Philippines official said the ships appeared to be part of China’s sea militia. Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte’s spokesman Salvador Panelo said he would meet China’s ambassador and ask for an explanation for the bolstered presence, after the Philippine Foreign Affairs Department lodged its protest with the committee.


Per BBG:

Philippine soldiers will continue their patrols in the disputed area, military chief General Benjamin Madrigal Jr. told reporters separately, adding that Chinese fishing vessels have repeatedly been spotted near the island. He urged a panel with representatives from both nations tasked with resolving South China Sea disputes to address Chinese presence in the area.

“This is a concern not only for the military, but for other agencies as well, including the Coast Guard. We are looking for ways to address this,” Madrigal told reporters on the sidelines of opening ceremonies for annual joint military drills between the Philippines and the U.S.

Before Duterte came to power and opted for warmer ties with Beijing, Manila won a case in the ICC validating its claim to sovereignty over most of the South China Sea. However, Beijing has ignored this ruling (and faced zero repercussions for doing so).

However, the ships massing around Thitu (which is known by Pagasa in the Philippines) wasn’t China’s only provocation. Taiwan accused Beijing of sending Navy ships across the median line of the Taiwan Strait, violating a long-held tacit agreement. (Click to Source)

外交部 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, ROC (Taiwan) 🇹🇼


At 11 a.m., March 31, 2 PLAAF J-11 jets violated the long-held tacit agreement by crossing the median line of the #Taiwan Strait. It was an intentional, reckless & provocative action. We’ve informed regional partners & condemn #China for such behavior.


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BREAKING NEWS 2:03 PM EST — India has begun a massive artillery attack on Pakistan, with 155mm artillery raining down on Pakistan along the “Line of Control (LoC).”  Ferocious fighting is taking place, spreading and getting worse.


As most of you my already know, for fifteen years (1993-2008), I worked with the FBI.  My final five years (2003-2008) with the Joint Terrorism Task Force (JTTF) wherein I was a “fully operational” national security intelligence asset.

According to sworn testimony in Brooklyn federal court in December, 2009, from Assistant Special Agent in Charge Amy Pickett, of FBI New York City Division, people like me handled “national security, terrorism and foreign counter-intelligence.”  This information came out in Brooklyn federal court during a trial in December, 2009.

I was also granted “full operational authority” by the FBI Office of Intelligence, for “extra-territorial” operations; meaning I was authorized to work outside the United States.  When I worked overseas, my activities were coordinated with the CIA, but I did not work for the CIA.

In my role with FBI, I forged relationships with many people in Intelligence Agencies around the world.  I worked with foreign government agencies similar to the US CIA, worked with foreign Military Intelligence, and worked with numerous foreign law enforcement agencies.   My work for FBI ended in late November, 2008, but I maintain my contacts with my former colleagues to this day.

The information below comes from those former colleagues, several of whom are still with the Intelligence Agencies of foreign governments, and others who may still work for the US government . . .


At least ten people are dead so far, reported to be at least 5 Pakistani soldiers and 5 other civilians.   Houses are reportedly being demolished as artillery shells rain down.

There are now ALSO reports that India is allegedly firing MISSILES, and that Pakistan is firing Missile Interceptors.  Video below seems to prove Pakistani claims of firing missile interceptors:




2:07 PM EST –– Seven civilians killed,  more than 25 injured. 

7 houses destroyed in cross LoC shelling by Indian Army.

Shelling reported from Poonch, Kotli, Tatapani, and Neelum sectors.

2:10 PM EST — Every sector of Azad, Kashmir is being shelled by India Artillery


As clashes at LoC continue, a feeling of remorse is setting in within Pakistani circles. Many people (in media, military, intelligence, diplomatic and political circles) are feeling that Pakistan has given too much of a concession to India by returning the captured India fighter pilot shot down earlier this week,  in return for nothing . . .


 2:14 PM EST — India using short range missile in Nakyal and Samani Sector.  3 civilian casualties in Nakyal so far.


2:48 PM EST — So many wounded that Hospitals in northern Pakistan now facing shortage of blood. People around the area are requested to donate blood to nearest hospital in Kotli. Urgent need: O negative


3:21 PM EST — According to locals, India fired short range missiles on civilians in Kotli Azad Kashmir. Pakistan army destroyed two missiles in air & one hit civilians.

30 civilians KILLED so far; hundreds are injured.

3:33 PM EST — A former IC colleague of mine, who I know personally, has talked to multiple Pakistani soldiers currently posted at the LoC and to many other people who have talked to their friends at LoC. There are VERY SEVERE clashes going on between India & Pakistan right now.  May continue all night.   Likely to get FAAAAAAR worse.


4:01 PM EST — My contacts just told me that India is using 214mm Pinaka multi-barrel rocket launcher (MBRL). This is very heavy firepower, definitely far heavier than the usual artillery duels.  FILE PHOTO below:

Pakistan is now allegedly responding with the M115 Howitzer; FILE PHOTO Below:


Both India and Pakistan have what is called an “Escalation Ladder” on how they will – theoretically – respond to hostilities between the two countries.   THE CHART BELOW SHOWS EACH SIDE’S “STEPS:” (Click Image Twice to enlarge)


4:48 PM EST — Pakistani snipers have reportedly killed multiple Indian forces at the Line of Control.
-Numerous civilian casualties on Pakistan side.

5:02 PM EST — NOW CONFIRMED: Pakistan Army retaliating to Indian Army fire with 203 mm M115 Artillery shells.

5:30 PM EST — CONFIRMED: AT LEAST 7 Indian soldiers killed by Pakistan Army.

 6:00 PM EST – All Pakistani hospitals have  declared urgent need for blood. The situation is getting worse from hour to hour; Hundreds of civilians are wounded and bleeding badly. Thousands more are fleeing. 

Mass-media: Silent.

More updates as info becomes available . . .


 8:40 PM EST — Earlier we had reports many civilians in Pakistan administered Kashmir evacuated areas near LOC. Now civilians in India administered Kashmir have also started to leave due to heavy shelling/fighting.


Emergency sirens were sounded in Lahore Cantonment Pakistan at 0300 hrs local time this morning. And the skies over Islamabad, Rawalpindi and Karachi are buzzing with the sound of PAF combat jets. Stretches of the M1 & M2 motorways near the Pakistani capital are being cordoned off, which may indicate that they will be used as emergency landing strips for PAF fighter aircraft.


9:00 PM EST — Pakistan has begun activating EMERGENCY RUNWAYS on their Highways M-1 and M-2.  The M-1 motorway (Peshawar-Islamabad) and the M-2 motorway (Islamabad-Lahore) each include two emergency runway sections of 9,000 feet (2,700 m) length.

The four emergency runway sections become operational by removing removable concrete medians using forklifts. The Pakistan Air Force (PAF) has used the M-2 motorway as a runway on two occasions: for the first time in 2000 when it landed an F-7P fighter, a Super Mushak trainer and a C-130 and, again, in 2010. On the last occasion, the PAF used a runway section on the M-2 motorway on 2 April 2010 to land, refuel and take-off two jet fighters, a [Mirage III] and an F-7P, during its Highmark 2010 exercise.



China has cancelled all flights to and from Pakistan for safety reasons following a decision by Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC) on Friday. It has also rerouted international flights of Chinese airlines that used Pakistani air space while flying from one country to another. Flights to and from the Middle East usually fly over Pakistan. The CAAC also notified domestic airlines to cancel their flights to Pakistan and cooperate with the air force to ensure the safety of flights and approve temporary flight plans.

(HT NOTE: This means a lot of different things; none of them good.  It should be a major “red flag” for observers of this situation.  When a super-power takes a small, but effective step like this, it means they know something.  At best, it means China already knows things are going to get MUCH worse.)



The “New Moon” will take place over New Delhi on March 6 at 9:33 PM local time.   From a tactical standpoint, a New Moon is the time when it is darkest at night; and is used militarily to help conceal aircraft from ground fire.  Today is March 2, so each day from now to then means darker nights and thus heightened ability for an air intrusion by one country into the other.


“Big Picture”

If recently the thought has occurred to you that “the world is going crazy” you’re not alone is seeing that.  The possibility of simultaneous invasions in Ukraine, Taiwan, Palestine/Syria/Iran, Venezuela is real.  Any rational person knows Venezuela is coming in the near future, the Middle East at some point, Taiwan eventually, and Ukraine likely. The world is heating up… and World War is a very possible outcome.   We know these two fighting nations(India – Pakistan)  have backers – some perhaps hidden – and that they are not simply fighting over Kashmir. Nothing in this world today is as it seems, and nothing is uncomplicated.   it would be to China’s benefit to create covertly, such a massive distraction of epic proportions to bring about their grand plan, the seizing by military force, of Taiwan and subduing all minor Asian nations as they storm the whole of the South China Sea. While simultaneously, launching an attack against all US military asset, bases, and installations in the Pacific region.There are stirrers of the pots, there are background supports, background enemies – this is far more complicated than Kashmir. It is worth taking this quiet moment to remind folks they should have “Preps” and they can find suggestions HERE.


1:00 AM EST – IED blast in Pulwama leaves one injured. The IED was laid to target security forces patrol vehicles but seems to have exploded prematurely. Pulwama is the exact same place where a terrorist bombing on February 14 killed 40 India police officers and set in-motion the present military conflict!



Internet connectivity in the area of the Line of Control (LoC) is being intentionally BLOCKED by both the Pakistan and India governments!   Civilians are finding themselves unable to communicate with anyone via email or social media because of this blockage.

Note, it is a BLOCK, not a lack of service.  The service IS there.  But any messages or images about the conflict are being stopped

It is clear that both the India and Pakistan governments wish to stop the flow of unfiltered civilian information from the conflict area;  allowing only _government_  information to see the light of day.   (Click to Source)


Recovery Room 7 is a community of people with similar backgrounds, where people from all walks of drug & alcohol recovery can meet together, share, socialize, interact, join in fun activities, share meals, pray and learn. It’s a place of joy and awakening to their true purpose in life. Jesus Christ is always present and ready to receive everyone in Recovery Room 7. We will be located in beautiful Northwest Montana. If you would like to donate to get Recovery Room 7 up and running, please go to our PayPal Donation Link here.


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China’s Secret Invasion of South Africa.


Over the past year or so South Africans have been so focused on the implications of land seizures that the ANC’s plan for the country, that I believe they might have overlooked one of the most dangerous elements to South Africa’s future on the African continent as a whole.


First we gotta realise that China sucks. China holds the all-time world record for the number of your own people killed off due to self-induced starvation, which sits at between 30 and 60 million people starved during the great leap forward. During the 1960s under MAO.

One day he also woke up and was like, hey let’s kill all the birds and so they did. Nature sucks in China, thats why the prime champion for pollution in the world is of course the chinese.China has 18 of the worlds 20 most polluted cities in the world.

Even the United Nations didn’t actually recognise China as China until the 1970s because taiwan was actually the real government of China, they were just driven out during the Chinese civil war in which the Communists took over.

After that, religion is also banned in China in the form of State Atheism. All of this basically means China is this planned communist economic dystopia

Economics are pretty much the only people that like China for some reason. I guess it’s because they have achieved the total growth productivity in a materialist oriented way of running a country, which basically corporations secretly loves and wants for the entire planet.

China is really pre-match copy and paste, like the shirt you wearing, the Eiffel tower or the Chengdu F’7Ni Widdow Maker, or just themselve. They even have their own internet where you get a few cents per post when you post something positive about the government

It’s no wonder that the folks living in such a place seems to have been stripped of all semblance of humanity, to a point when someone injured around them does not elicit any emotional response. Couple this lack of empathy with a government that wants to be the worlds factory and you have a great recipe for the worse working conditions known to man, where things break crush or incenerate people on a regular basis…but who cares, they have a lot more people where that came from.

Now, economists might not agree with me, but essentially China’s massive economic power is an inflated meme, mostly due to its population size. All they can do is injest natural resources and spew out cheap crap that bends, snaps, crashes or spontaneously combusts if you so much as stress test it. A lot of its growth is just thanks to constantly building useless crap essentially

To be the disaster factory that it is China needs resources. To secure these resources it needs political influence and military power.

As we all know China has been looking to Africa into being its piggy bank of raw materials. South africa of course being one of china’s biggest trading partner not just because of BRICS, but because South Africa quite literally supplies all of it chromium.

The Chinese needs chromium that is later used for steel manufacturing. However they now seek to cut out the middle men, that being the African governments themselves, and they are moving in for good.

China loves to build things. They build dams and roads in Africa, with the only cost being the countries basically selling their souls to the Chinese. That means Chinese workers coming to take those resources back to China. We have Chinese equipment and Chinese facilities especially built for them in a deal that basucally states that the resources still on the ground basically already belongs to China. China puts France to shame when it comes to indirect colonialism.

You can go to Angola and find  pre-built cities waiting for its Chinese colonizers. They are planning ones for South Africa too. Heck why do they even need to fit in when the South African government can outrightlt just classify the Chinese as an honorary blacks so that they can enjoy the full benefit of affirmative action while African migrants are being butchered in xenophobic attacks…. oh wait they have already done that.

Recently angry South Africans have been tweeting about the new Chinese police stations. Supposedly the 13th such ones in South Africa that was opened in Port Elizabeth by a very uncomfortable looking provincial commissioner lol.

This whole thing was organised by the Chinese Community and Police Coperation Centre, the CCPCC. The CEO of this organisation insists that it is not a Police station, only a form of liason between the Police and Chinese nationals living in South Africa. The second function that it emphasises is that of a language program.

There is a Chinese program in which they train South African officers to speak basic Mandarin. A statement released by the Chinese consulate general confirmed that this initiative is as a result of the murder of a Chinese national this february. What is South Africans are doing is that they’re effectively paying to delegate many policing duties in areas with many residents of Chinese origins all over the country to this Chinese organisation.

The irony in this is that the people who the Chinese government is now pouring so much money into protecting are for the most part economic and political refugees who fled China. This reversal of attitude is because the Chinese government has recognised that the local population is an invaluable tool for the economic takeover of Africa.

If you look at the rest of Africa you will find out that nearly all Chinese nationals are part of the new 60 billion industry that is Chinese INVESTMENT in African infrastructure. The Chinese are mad they lost resource rich West Africa to the United States and France. So now they have trained their eyes on the South.

South africa is a promising new target for the covert colonization of Africa. If china waits until the shit hit the fan, the americans of the french will jump in, and as such miss their shot. So they have to start now if they want to assured South Africa will be a captive market.

They have already started. Earlier this year South Africa began to fall into the depths trap that has befallen so many poor smaller african countries like Zambia already.

In September South Africa’s new President Cyril Ramaphosa accepted a R370 billion loan from China that it will be incapable of paying back. On top of the $60 billion of loans that China pours into the rest of Africa annually.

President Cyril Ramaphosa and President Xi Jinping of the People’s Republic of China having a bilateral meeting during his State Visit to South Africa, at the Union Buildings in Pretoria.

Then in the same vein it is announced that China will build a new power station in Limpopo reportedly to boost South Africa’s suffering power grid, but in reality it is meant to be used exclusively for the proposed industrial zone which two would be entirely under control of the Chinese government.

South Africans are angry migrants are coming to steal their jobs, Nigerians are coming to steal their women and so on. They should be angry that their governments is basically delegating duties to an organisation control by the Chinese government. They should be angry that their government is irreversibly selling their country to a foreign power so that they can continue stuffing their pockets with incomes from unpayable loans and unprofitable investments, why leaving the rest of the country to deal with the fallout.

I don’t think China isn’t playing the long game here. They have been increasing their military presence in Africa for quite some time. Perhaps the most stunning development of late is the deployment of two batteries of China’s most advanced Surface to Air Missiles in ZIMBABWE !!!

The HQ-9 is China’s most advanced Surface to Air Missile System. It outclases America’s Patriot SAM system in range altitude. What the heck is it doing in Zimbabwe?

I mean, it doesn’t take much of mental gymnastics to wonder who their advanced surface-to-air missiles installations are meant to the deter. I don’t think it’s Botswana, or Zambia or Angola.

I think it might very well be a move against the United States denying China their piggybank. After all they already have taken over West Africa, its only fair they leave Southern Africa to China.

Lastlt, there’s a good reason to believe the expropriation of land from Afrikaans without compensation is also fueled by Chinese interests AFRI FORUM has already suggested. I mean it should not be strange at all as during the cold war the Chinese basically thoughts black nationalist how to employ terror tactics in a population in order to exert control they were also one of the main suppliers of weapons to them as well as the soviets

The scramble for Africa is steaming up folks. I suggest you grab your popcorn. With %30 of the worlds natural resources in Africa it’s gonna be a very interesting couple of years in the global power struggle for control and dominance.

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World News – Chinese Admiral Wants To “Sink Two US Aircraft Carriers” Over South China Sea

Tuesday, 01 January 2019 12:21

Details from a speech delivered two weeks ago by one of China’s leading military commanders outlined a strategy to rebuff the US Navy should it take an even more interventionist posture within the “nine-dash line” of the South China Sea.

Rear Admiral Lou Yuan told an audience in Shenzhen that the simmering dispute over the East and South China Seas could be decisively ended by sinking two US aircraft carriers.

Taiwan’s Central News Agency reported that Admiral Lou gave a long speech on the state of Sino-US relations, where he declared that the trade spat was “definitely not simply friction over economics and trade,” but a “prime strategic issue.” And that if China wants the US to back off, it must be willing to attack US ships when they intrude in Chinese territory.

During the Dec. 20 speech to the 2018 Military Industry List summit, Lou declared that China’s anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles were capable of hitting US carriers, even when they were in the middle of a “bubble” of defensive escorts.

“What the United States fears the most is taking casualties,” Admiral Lou declared.

He said the loss of one super carrier would cost the US the lives of 5000 service men and women. Sinking two would double that toll.

“We’ll see how frightened America is.”

Lou also explained what he described as the US’s five vulnerabilities, and insisted that China must not hesitate to strike back at any of them should a US fleet even dare to stop in Taiwan.

In his speech, he said there were ‘five cornerstones of the United States’ open to exploitation: their military, their money, their talent, their voting system — and their fear of adversaries.

Admiral Lou, who holds an academic military rank – not a service role – said China should “use its strength to attack the enemy’s shortcomings. Attack wherever the enemy is afraid of being hit. Wherever the enemy is weak …”

“If the US naval fleet dares to stop in Taiwan, it is time for the People’s Liberation Army to deploy troops to promote national unity on (invade) the island,” Admiral Lou said.

Should Taiwan become increasingly restive, China possesses the capability to stage  a military takeover of the island in 100 hours, Lou said. This eventuality is more likely than many might believe, Lou said, adding that 2018 could be a “year of turmoil” for Taiwan, and that a military conflict was possible.

“Achieving China’s complete unity is a necessary requirement. The achievement of the past 40 years of reform and opening-up has given us the capability and confidence to safeguard our sovereignty. Those who are trying to stir up trouble in the South China Sea and Taiwan should be careful about their future.”

“The PLA is capable of taking over Taiwan within 100 hours with only a few dozen casualties,” said retired lieutenant general Wang Hongguang.

“2018 is a year of turmoil for Taiwan, and a possible military conflict may take place in Taiwan soon. (But) As long as the US doesn’t attack China-built islands and reefs in the South China Sea, no war will take place in the area.”

US military commanders have long warned that China’s growing military presence in the Pacific is a serious threat to US security, and China has underscored these concerns by organizing military drills explicitly to threaten Taiwan. Indeed, a military conflict with China remains one of the most widely cited “black swan” risks to global security – a possibility that has only been exacerbated by the trade conflict. (Click to Source)



China’s online retailers pull Bible from shelves as Beijing gets strict on sale of holy text

Searches for the religious book on, Taobao and fail to produce results

PUBLISHED : Thursday, 05 April, 2018, 8:46am
UPDATED : Thursday, 05 April, 2018, 11:52pm
China’s online retail giants have removed the Bible from sale in an apparent move by Beijing to restrict its distribution.

On, searches for “the Bible” in Chinese yielded no results, while on Taobao, and Dang Dang, they led to other Christian publications, such as storybooks and Bible study aids.

Taobao is owned by Alibaba, which also owns the South China Morning Post. Neither Taobao nor responded to requests for comment.

“This probably started on March 30,” a source at a Chinese publishing house source told Inkstone, a new China news portal under the Post. “Some shops on Taobao [selling Christian books] have been closed permanently.”

The apparent crackdown on online sales of the Bible comes as Beijing and the Vatican continue to seek a deal on the appointment of bishops, which if reached could lead to the normalisation of ties between the two that were severed in 1951.

While the Bible has long been categorised in China as a publication “for internal distribution” – meaning that, officially at least, it can be sold only by government-sanctioned bodies that oversee Christian churches – the authorities have tended to look the other way.

“[The ban] was not enforced strictly before,” said Ying Fuk-tsang, director of the Divinity School of Chung Chi College at the Chinese University of Hong Kong.

The publishing house source said that Christian bookstores were subjected to regular inspections by the Ministry of Culture, and that during one such visit by officials on Tuesday, an outlet in Beijing was told it could no longer sell “foreign” books.

In China, all religious activities come under the close scrutiny of the officially atheist Communist Party. Beijing has often repeated its position that it will not allow “foreign forces” to dominate the country’s religious activities.

Under President Xi Jinping, the authorities have further tightened their grip on Christianity, including cracking down on underground churches.

China’s e-commerce behemoths were not the only ones to be hit with the restrictions on online sales of the Bible.

A Christian bookstore on WeChat, China’s most popular messaging platform, based in southern Guangdong province said it was inundated with “notice of punishment” warnings from the social media app on Tuesday, and that most of its content – including the Bible, and Christian books and gifts – had been deleted overnight.

Dong Jianlin, a bishop of a house church in Xian, capital of northwestern China’s Shaanxi province, said believers were shocked by the news.

“But I think the shock will die down gradually, because you just can’t ban the Bible,” he said. “People will always find ways to buy it, such as at state-sanctioned churches.”

The Bible was never meant to be sold in China, Dong said, so the tighter controls would just regulate sales and distribution.

Ying, however, said he believed the move was part of a wider strategy to prevent the spread of Christianity online.

According to official figures published on Tuesday, China is home to about 38 million Protestants and 6 million Catholics.

Many more people, however, worship in underground churches outside the state-sanctioned system. By some academic estimates, Christians in China now outnumber the 90 million members of the Communist Party.

Additional reporting by Nectar Gan (Click to Source)

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Holy Bible Removed from Amazon and Other Online Stores in China

Report: The Holy Bible Removed from Amazon, Other Online Stores in China


The Holy Bible has been removed from sale on Amazon and other online stores in China, according to a report.

“On, searches for ‘the Bible’ in Chinese yielded no results, while on Taobao, and Dang Dang, they led to other Christian publications, such as storybooks and Bible study aids,” reported the South China Morning Post. “While the Bible has long been categorised in China as a publication ‘for internal distribution’ – meaning that, officially at least, it can be sold only by government-sanctioned bodies that oversee Christian churches – the authorities have tended to look the other way.”

“In China, all religious activities come under the close scrutiny of the officially atheist Communist Party. Beijing has often repeated its position that it will not allow ‘foreign forces’ to dominate the country’s religious activities,” they explained, adding, “A Christian bookstore on WeChat, China’s most popular messaging platform, based in southern Guangdong province said it was inundated with ‘notice of punishment’ warnings from the social media app on Tuesday, and that most of its content – including the Bible, and Christian books and gifts – had been deleted overnight.”

In a comment, a “source at a Chinese publishing house,” also claimed, “Some shops on Taobao [selling Christian books] have been closed permanently.” (Click to Source)

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Trump Will Meet With Kim Jong-Un, Anthony Kennedy May Retire


North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has reportedly requested a direct, face-to-face meeting with President Trump to talk about complete denuclearization.  In a shocking announcement, the President has agreed to a meeting “by May”—presumably to occur shortly before Israel’s 70th anniversary on May 14th.

In the meantime, North Korea has agreed to suspend all missile and nuclear tests while conceding that U.S.-South Korean military exercises will continue.  The sudden, concessionary tone from Kim Jong-un has startled geopolitical analysts, showing that Reagan-esque “peace through strength” is the only effective method of international diplomacy, but time will tell.  One thing is for sure—the last 30 years of Democrat and Neocon policies have done absolutely nothing to dissuade the North Korean leadership.  All the while hundreds of thousands—including untold numbers of Christians—continue to languish in labor camps.

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In other news, rumor is continuing to boil that Supreme Court Justice Anthony Kennedy may retire this summer, which would be a vacancy that could fundamentally transform SCOTUS from socially liberal to socially conservative (Kennedy was the deciding vote on gay marriage and numerous other issues).  For the nation’s sake I pray he does.  I also pray that he stands up for religious liberty in the upcoming, monumentally important case involving a Christian baker in Colorado who refused to bake a cake for a gay wedding.  If he sides with the court’s four liberals, Christian liberty will be stifled like never before.

Please pray with me.


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I also want to bring attention to another rapidly developing story that is being largely ignored—the situation for the minority white population in South Africa has suddenly deteriorated and some reports are suggesting they may be in imminent danger.  Please, please pray for this situation immediately.  We have readers in South Africa.  They and their families need your prayers.

Last week the Parliament of South Africa voted to allow the bureaucratic seizure of land owned by white farmers without compensation.  To further inflame tensions, the leader of the racist EFF party has called for violence against whites in the country, setting off alarm bells about a Rwanda-repeat.

I want to hear from our South African friends if you have any news about this.

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Lastly, speculation is building about the significance of March 20th, the presumed start of the next biblical year.  I would be remiss not to mention this.  There is an incredible plethora of numbers, patterns, and day counts pointing to this day, and it’s a day that signals not only the end of the year in which the Revelation 12Sign occurred, but also the beginning of the year in which Israel will celebrate its 70th anniversary.  That is significant in and of itself.

That being said, I think we can make a mistake by suggesting numbers, patterns, and day counts can only find their significance in the rapture.  To the contrary, every day is significant and controlled by God, and some days more significant than others, but sometimes it takes time to realize what that significance is.  For example, the Super Blood Moon in September 2015 didn’t signal the rapture, but the entrance of large numbers of Russian and Iranian troops into the biblical boundaries of Northern Israel.  Likewise, the blood moon in April 2014 did not pinpoint the rapture, but marked a significant number of geopolitical developments and armed conflicts, including the rise of the Islamic State’s caliphate and the civil war in Ukraine.

While I believe the rapture is imminent (probably this year), I’m not sure exactly how this will all play out. (Click to Source)

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DOW drops almost 460 points on news of China tariffs & Trump slamming Amazon


The Dow Jones Industrial average closed 458 points down, as Beijing slapped tariffs on US imports in retaliation for US steel and aluminum tariffs and President Donald Trump blasted online retail giant Amazon.

On Monday, Beijing imposed a 15 percent duty on 127 US products, as well as a 25 percent tariff on pork, in retaliation for Trump’s recent tariffs on Chinese exports.

“China and the United States are the world’s two biggest economies, and cooperation is the only correct choice,” the Chinese Ministry of Commerce said announcing the tariffs, adding that it hoped the US would rescind its tariff decision “as quickly as possible.” (Click to Source)

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