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The Bloodshed in Mexico Is Blowback From a Broken Drug War

You won’t hear this on the nightly news, but the violence tearing through Mexico did not materialize out of nowhere. It is the predictable consequence of decades of failed drug war policy, fragmented enforcement strategies, and the economics of prohibition. When the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) rose to prominence, it did not emerge from…

You won’t hear this on the nightly news, but the violence tearing through Mexico did not materialize out of nowhere. It is the predictable consequence of decades of failed drug war policy, fragmented enforcement strategies, and the economics of prohibition.

When the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) rose to prominence, it did not emerge from a vacuum. It grew inside a system shaped by militarized anti-drug campaigns, cross-border weapons flows, intelligence-driven kingpin takedowns, and enormous black-market profit margins.

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The 2015 Helicopter Shootdown

On May 1, 2015, during Operation Jalisco, CJNG fighters used a rocket-propelled grenade launcher to bring down a Mexican military helicopter, killing nine personnel. The U.S. Department of Justice later confirmed in federal court that Rubén Oseguera González (“El Menchito”) ordered the attack.

That moment marked a turning point. Cartels were no longer just trafficking networks — they were operating like paramilitary organizations.

The Zetas and Military Blowback

In the 1990s, elite Mexican special forces known as GAFE were trained in counterinsurgency and counternarcotics tactics. Some later defected and formed Los Zetas — introducing military-level brutality into organized crime.

There is no verified proof of deliberate U.S. coordination with cartels. But there is documented evidence that trained personnel later defected, bringing elite combat skills with them.

That is policy blowback.

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The Kingpin Strategy Problem

For years, authorities pursued the “kingpin strategy” — removing cartel leaders in hopes of collapse.

Instead, research and on-the-ground results show fragmentation. Removing one leader often splinters organizations into smaller, more violent factions fighting for territory.

Take out one boss. Get five new wars.

Fast and Furious Fallout

Between 2009 and 2011, ATF’s Operation Fast and Furious allowed firearms to cross into Mexico in a failed tracking strategy. Those weapons later appeared at crime scenes, including the killing of Border Patrol Agent Brian Terry.

This was confirmed through congressional investigation.

Weapons flowed south. Violence escalated.

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The Financial Hypocrisy

In 2012, HSBC entered a Deferred Prosecution Agreement with the DOJ after admitting it laundered at least $1 billion in cartel proceeds.

No senior executives went to prison.

The fine represented a fraction of annual profit.

Meanwhile, everyday Americans face aggressive enforcement for far smaller reporting violations.

That disparity erodes public trust.

The Economics of Prohibition

Prohibition inflates margins.

High margins fund weapons.

Weapons escalate conflict.

Escalation justifies bigger enforcement budgets.

And the cycle continues.

This is not conspiracy. It is economic cause and effect.

Surveillance and Crisis Expansion

Cartel violence also drives domestic expansion of surveillance, AI-powered tracking systems, and border militarization.

Every crisis expands capability.

Every expansion reshapes liberty.

Conclusion

The drug war did not eliminate narcotics markets.

It reshaped them.

If a strategy consistently produces stronger cartels, more fragmentation, and higher civilian death tolls, then it demands honest re-evaluation.

The bloodshed in Mexico may not be the product of a secret master plan — but it is the product of a system that has repeatedly failed.


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