By The Blogging Hounds
The emerging Gaza peace framework crafted by President Donald Trump could reshape regional dynamics — but experts warn that unless Hamas is fully stripped of its weapons and power, the ceasefire will amount to little more than a temporary pause before the terrorist group resumes hostilities.
Hamas Will Not Step Down
Dr. Michael Milshtein, one of Israel’s foremost experts on Hamas, told Fox News Digital: “Forget words like peace and coexistence — THAT WON’T HAPPEN.” According to Milshtein, Hamas leaders have made clear that they will not accept an international mandate or a Tony Blair-style trusteeship.
“They’re prepared to let a cosmetic Palestinian administration run daily affairs, but Hamas will operate behind the scenes, like Hezbollah in Lebanon,” he warned.
Hamas’s rhetoric about “freezing” weapons — rather than surrendering them — reveals the group’s strategy. Officials indicate they are not willing to disarm, and will hand over only some of their remaining rocket infrastructure. Hamas will remain in Gaza under every scenario as both a military and social force, ready to exert control behind the scenes.
Hostage Release Countdown
Based on the latest reports from mediators, Israeli officials, Hamas statements, and expert analyses as of October 12, 2025, the likelihood of all 20 living hostages being released on time is high but not certain.
- 70% chance of release by Monday noon Israel time (5:00 a.m. ET)
- 30% chance the transfer slips to Tuesday, October 14
Factors Favoring Monday Release (70%)
- Agreement Terms and Momentum: The Trump-brokered ceasefire activated Friday, October 10, sets a hard 72-hour window for a unified handover via the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC). Hamas senior official Osama Hamdan confirmed to AFP and BBC that releases “will begin Monday morning.”
- Logistical Readiness: Israeli intelligence tracks most hostage locations, and Hamas claims to have consolidated captives despite prior fragmentation with groups like the PIJ. The ICRC is preparing a single, discreet transfer, with Rafah crossing reopening Tuesday for aid and follow-ups.
- Political Pressure: The Egypt Summit, featuring Macron, Starmer, Sisi, and others, starts Monday afternoon. Compliance ties directly to Gulf reconstruction funds and international credibility, a litmus test Hamas cannot afford to fail publicly.
Factors Favoring Tuesday Delay (30%)
- Hamas’s Track Record: Past deals, including November 2023 and January/March 2025, experienced 1–2 day delays due to “logistical issues” or splinter groups holding captives.
- Potential Snags: Hamas admits partial control issues for ~2–3 outliers and emphasizes prioritization of living hostages over deceased remains. Any last-minute coordination could push the release to Tuesday.
Despite the uncertainty, the scale tips toward Monday due to unprecedented U.S. and international leverage, but Hamas’s history tempers certainty. If delayed, Qatar and Egypt channels are expected to resolve the final handovers quickly to prevent renewed escalation.
Hamas Targets Internal Rivals
Meanwhile, reports from Gaza indicate that Hamas is actively eliminating internal opposition. Arab sources report that Hamas holds accountable anyone who cooperated with Israel, launching targeted operations against perceived collaborators.
- Militants of the Sahm unit and the Hamas military wing have been battling the Da’mash clan in Gaza City’s Sabra neighborhood.
- Hamas fighters have reportedly been working for hours to eliminate militias supported by the Zionist enemy army in the sector.
- Last night, 15 members of the Da’mash clan were executed near the Jordanian hospital in northern Gaza.
These operations highlight that Hamas is consolidating control internally even as it publicly negotiates ceasefire agreements — a stark warning that the group intends to maintain both political and military dominance.
The Agreement Walk-Back
Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the PFLP released a joint statement rejecting any foreign guardianship over Gaza, insisting governance is strictly a Palestinian matter. Analysts warn this is consistent with the group’s long-standing refusal to truly disarm.
“Peace and Safety” now hangs by a thread, and the “ceasefire deal with the devil” may quickly collapse into renewed conflict, fulfilling the prophetic warning of 1 Thessalonians 5:3: “For when they shall say, Peace and safety; then sudden destruction cometh upon them.”
Prophetic Perspective: Countdown to Sudden Destruction
The Psalm 83 multifront war scenario looms as Hamas positions itself for continued militancy, setting the stage for rapid escalation should the ceasefire fail. The world watches as hostages and political leverage are traded in real time — a stark reminder that the Rapture countdown and prophetic timelines may be unfolding in our midst.
The coming hours are critical: Hamas will not disarm, it will not step down, and Israel remains prepared to resume war immediately if the agreement collapses. The global community must remain alert to the volatility in Gaza, where the line between ceasefire and catastrophe is measured in hours.
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The Blogging Hounds 
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