Climate alarmists tell us there is a direct line between human activity and extreme weather.
They love to say carbon dioxide is causing more and stronger hurricanes.
Now this: Activity in the Atlantic is way down so far this hurricane season.
There are normally eight tropical storms by this point in the season – there have only been five storms so far this season.
And no major hurricanes.
To date the Atlantic has had five named storms, which is not all that far off “normal” activity, as measured by climatological averages from 1991 to 2020. Normally, by now, the Atlantic would have recorded eight tropical storms and hurricanes that were given names by the National Hurricane Center.
The disparity is more significant when we look at a metric for the duration and intensity of storms, known as Accumulated Cyclone Energy. By this more telling measurement, the 2022 season has a value of 29.6, which is less than half of the normal value through Saturday, 60.3.
Perhaps what is most striking about this season is that we are now at the absolute peak of hurricane season, and there is simply nothing happening. Although the Atlantic season begins on June 1, it starts slowly, with maybe a storm here or there in June, and often a quiet July before the deep tropics get rolling in August. Typically about half of all activity occurs in the 14 weeks prior to September 10, and then in a mad, headlong rush the vast majority of the remaining storms spin up before the end of October.
The hurricane season is not over, but events are not unfolding the way climate alarmists predicted.
The historical average shows that around half of the hurricane activity occurs in the first 14 weeks while the other half occurs in the 7 weeks after.
Based on the historical hurricane record that extends back to 1851, the frequency of named storms in the Atlantic is highest on or around September 10th.
On average, about half of hurricane season activity occurs in the 14 weeks leading up to today and roughly half occurs in the 7 weeks following, with some 95 percent of typical seasonal activity taking place by the end of October.
So while it’s unusually quiet today, the season is far from over, especially for us in South Florida, where the odds of a hurricane strike are highest in October. It only takes one particularly bad hurricane to reverse feelings of a quiet season.
How many more bad predictions before they admit they’re wrong?