One year ago, in March, the NTI collaborated with the Munich Security Conference to perform an exercise that simulated a biological terrorist attack using an unusual stand of monkeypox.
NTI caused a major monkeypox outbreak and concluded that the engineered stand of this disease could kill more than 270M people globally, and over 3Billion in total would contract MonkeyPox.
Currently, we face monkeypox cases in Europe, Canada, and the US! Now, the NTI’s simulation has become our reality. (Click Here)
Developed in consultation with technical and policy experts, the fictional exercise scenario portrayed a deadly, global pandemic involving an unusual strain of monkeypox virus that first emerged in the fictional nation of Brinia and spread globally over 18 months. Ultimately, the exercise scenario revealed that the initial outbreak was caused by a terrorist attack using a pathogen engineered in a laboratory with inadequate biosafety and biosecurity provisions and weak oversight. By the end of the exercise, the fictional pandemic resulted in more than three billion cases and 270 million fatalities worldwide.
Discussions throughout the tabletop exercise generated a range of valuable insights and key findings. Most significantly, exercise participants agreed that, notwithstanding improvements following the global response to COVID-19, the international system of pandemic prevention, detection, analysis, warning, and response is woefully inadequate to address current and anticipated future challenges. Gaps in the international biosecurity and pandemic preparedness architecture are extensive and fundamental, undermining the ability of the international community to prevent and mount effective responses to future biological events—including those that could match the impacts of COVID-19 or cause damage that is significantly more severe. (Click Here)
Monkeypox, a rare viral disease, has found its way into the headlines and it is apparently spreading across the United States. A New York City resident has tested positive for the virus that causes monkeypox, state health officials announced late Friday.
As governments around the world intensify mass vaccination efforts and point to pandemics as a pretext for infringing on civil liberties, it is worth noting that an influential global security organization known as the Nuclear Threat Initiative published a wargame document in March 2021 that specifically predicted a monkeypox outbreak in May 2022.
“A year ago, at a munich conference [sic], the NTI predicted a monkeypox terror attack in May 2022 in a germ game, except it appears they were the terrorists,” TheBlaze Senior Editor Daniel Horowitz reported.
The wargame document provides a valuable glimpse into how national governments and intergovernmental organizations intend to prepare for the next pandemic.