China warns ‘weak’ Australia to stay out of Taiwan or be one of ‘first to be hit’

WORLD HAL TURNER 24 MAY 2021

Beijing’s “Global Times” newspaper, considered to be the mouthpiece for the China Communist Party (CCP), publicly warned Australia not to interfere with Taiwan affairs or they would be “among the first to be hit.”

The warning follows the completion of a joint military drill in the South China Sea which saw Australia in friendly war game exercises with Japan, the US and France.

Even worse, the Global Times mocked Australia as “too weak” to deal with China’s military!

In a scathing article, Global Times said: “The People’s Liberation Army doesn’t even need to make pointed responses to the joint drill since it’s insignificant militarily.”  They went on to say “Australia’s military is too weak to be a worthy opponent of China, and if it dares to interfere in a military conflict for example in the Taiwan Straits, its forces will be among the first to be hit.”

The ARC21 war game exercises held in the South China Sea practiced anti-aircraft defense, amphibious assaults and urban warfare.

The drill follows a series of comments made by Australian senator, Jim Molan, who proposed that Australia may be able to deter China from further acts of aggression by deploying “significant forces into the region.”

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Hal Turner Analysis

What does this tell everyone?  It tells me there WILL be a military move by China against Taiwan.   It’s that plain and simple.

It also tells everyone that China may not be so sure of the abilities of their People’s Liberation Army (PLA); after all, if Australia is actually so weak and insignificant, why the need to say this to Australia?

The fact that Beijing chose to state these things publicly ought to be a real warning to everyone that they have military plans to forcibly take Taiwan.

It would be a lopsided event.  Taiwan is a mere 100 miles or so off the coast of mainland China.  The sheer number of forces China can bring to bear would be mind-numbing.  The speed at which they can bring those forces to bear is the real question.

For decades, Taiwan laughed-off a potential China invasion, referring to it as “the big swim” because China did not have the naval assets needed to move a large number of forces quickly.  That has changed.

China now has enough vessels to competently move large numbers of its troops, the relatively short distance to Taiwan.

So how would Taiwan defend?

Well, submarines might be a good start.  Torpedo the incoming vessels carrying troops.

Or how about land-based torpedo launchers?  There’s an idea.   Have them fire out of submerged tubes off the Taiwan coast.

Barrage after barrage might put a real hurt on inbound forces.

Missiles, yes, they’re very necessary, but they can be hit by land-based China missiles, and presumably taken out quickly.

So Taiwan would need mobile missile launchers that can fire, move fast, reload and fire again from another location.

Keeping the Chinese troops in the water is essential because once they gain a foothold on the island, the end would likely come quickly.

China has vast anti-aircraft defenses, specifically designed to hit US aircraft in great numbers.   So jamming of the targeting systems of those missiles will also be essential, but in a way that still allows US missiles to function.   Difficult task.

Defending Taiwan from invasion by China will now be a gigantic undertaking and I’m not certain it can actually be done.  I suspect, whatever comes, will be an absolutely brutal fight, with very many deaths on both sides.

China needs to weight the costs in dead bodies, sunk vessels, and shot-down aircraft, of such an endeavor, against the potential gain.   Put simply, is it worth it?

The answer to that question will tell all of us when and if China will attack. (Click to Source)

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